ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2004/12/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2005/01/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2005/02/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2005/03/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2005/04/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2005/05/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2005/06/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2005/07/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2005/08/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2005/09/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2005/10/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2005/11/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2005/12/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2006/01/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2006/02/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2006/03/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2006/04/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2006/09/ ARCHIVE: http://littletobacco.blogspot.com/2006/10/ AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/30/2006 02:21:00 PM TITLE: Pam Anderson the new Bono? ----- BODY:
Pam wants to have labels on egg packages letting the consumer know that the eggs come from caged hens . Note to Pam: All the eggs are from caged hens...it is easier to label the few that are not from caged hens. You need to cozy up to the PM and he will tell you that he is going to label the eggs, hold a press conference and tell the world that VIP is his favorite show, just beating out Baywatch, and then he will not follow through...wait a second....there is a new PM .... forget I said anything.
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/30/2006 02:16:00 PM TITLE: Can't get off the government tit ----- BODY:
Caroline Parrish, like any socialist elite, has made her living off of telling people what to do for their own good and then using the force of the state to make them do it. Out of a job and with her meal ticket reduced to 103 seats, she is now off to once again impose the greater good on the people of Mississauga. If the people of Mississauga has any common sense, they will force Ms. Parrish off the taxpayers dime and on to her own before she forces their taxes through the roof.
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/25/2006 11:39:00 AM TITLE: David Janes ----- BODY:
My good buddy David Janes is getting his fair share of play at Steynonline these days. Good for him. He has been at the blogging racket from the beginning and has programmed some real useful tools, including blogging software and aggregators, which can be found over at blogmatrix.com.

Dave is right, anytime you hear someone say that politicians are all corrupt, that someone is a Liberal or is voting Liberal.
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/17/2006 08:48:00 AM TITLE: ----- BODY:
The polls in Quebec are stunning. I have written before that for the first time in more than a decade, the Federalist vote is in play in Quebec, but who would have thought that the Soverignist vote would be as well? While the Tories have doubled the support of the Liberals in Quebec 28%-14%, the interesting numbersw revolve around the number of PQ/Bloc supporters who are giving the Tories the long look during the last week of the campaign.

The Globe is reporting that 55% of Canadians would welcome a Tory majority and that the majority of Canadians would like to see a majority government. I agree. If anything is to be learned from the last Parliament, minority governments only work if you believe that massive spending on dubious programs is good government. Every decision in a minority Parliament is political; sound public policy is out the window.
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/17/2006 08:42:00 AM TITLE: Note to Paul Martin ----- BODY:
Dear Mr. Prime Minister,

Re: Your entire tenure

With regard to the above mentioned, please stop begging. Have some dignity.

Regards
Little Tobacco
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/16/2006 10:25:00 PM TITLE: Liberals may just stay home ----- BODY:
Many a Liberal is disenchanted with the Liberal Party these days, but is that enough to get them to vote for the Tories or the NDP? I suspect that in many instances, it is not. Instead, i expect to see a larger than normal number of Liberals simply sit this one out rather than sully their hands by marking an X for another party.
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/16/2006 10:17:00 PM TITLE: Perhaps I have been too hard on the NDP ----- BODY:
In all probability there will be Tory government next week. I have been dismissing the NDP play for Liberal votes as too little too late, but perhaps I have been too hard on the NDP. It is my anti-socialist bias. If the Libs are gone and you were only voting for them because "Harper is scary" then why not vote for the NDP. Collectivism will still be your choice, but you can say that you punished the Liberals for their corruption.
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/15/2006 11:56:00 AM TITLE: I could not have been more wrong ----- BODY:
I published a memo that was given to the Tories after the last election that outlined where the Tories had gone wrong in that election and what they should do to acheive success in the future. I said that the Tories were given good advice, but it was not heeded. I was wrong. Dead wrong. Parts of the memo could be a blue print for this campaign, particularly with regard to social conservatism and taking a moderate approach to policies such as tax reform. The link takes you to the memo.
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/15/2006 11:44:00 AM TITLE: Orchard enters the fray ----- BODY:
David Orchard is waging in on the campagin on behalf of the Liberals. The only problem is that Orchard's position on just about every issue is not worthy of comment.
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/15/2006 11:22:00 AM TITLE: NDP point guns at Liberals: Layton Ignoring the Tories ----- BODY:
The NDP are gunning for the Liberals in an unprecedented manner, and well they should be. While the Liberals are facing the loss of their government, the NDP are facing a move to oblivion. The NDP are in some ways the creators of the monster that could lead to their near complete demise. The NDP have had a large hand over the years in vilifying the Tories as Right-Wing, American style whack jobs. They have not really ever stopped positioning the spectrum in that manner. This anybody but the Tories approach may cause their soft support to head to the Liberals in an effort to stop the Tory tide. Layton et al are staring it in the face and have changed tactics. They are now focusing almost exclusively on the Liberals with a message that the Liberal ship is lost, the Liberals do not deserve your vote and that at this point a vote for the NDP is as effective as a vote for the Liberals. It may, however, be too little too late. Look at the coverage in the press this weekend. Those in the electorate who will not be voting Harper essentially take the position that Harper is scary and, to some extent, I think these people believe it. This will be hard for the NDP to overcome as they try and stop the transfusion of votes from the NDP back to the Liberals.
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/15/2006 08:05:00 AM TITLE: Amother Isolated Incident ----- BODY:
Here is another isolated incident of the Libs using the public prse for their individual political gain.
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/12/2006 12:00:00 PM TITLE: Harper Victory means the end of the BQ ----- BODY:
Why has Gille Duceppe has turned the guns on Harper:
Bloc Quebecois Leader Gilles Duceppe turned his guns from the Liberals to Harper Wednesday in Quebec, where the Conservatives are steadily rising in the
polls.Duceppe tried to tie two top provincial Tories to possible wrongdoing by
Option Canada spending prior to the 1995 referendum."... The Conservative and
Liberal federalists allied together to ridicule democracy and break Quebec law
with premeditation," said Duceppe, adding that federalists are ready to do
anything to stifle the aspirations of Quebecers
.

Becuase the end of the Bloc's long run in Quebec can be solved if Harper addresses and fixes the Fiscal Inbalance. And with Tory Government in power chances are the said imbalance will get fixed. Good news for Harper. Good news for Charest. Bad news for Duceppe. The Bloc have made their living off the fiscal imbalance. If fixed, the Bloc will have virtually no utility for the average Quebecer. More power to the provinces means a more unified Canada. Who would have thought?
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/12/2006 10:57:00 AM TITLE: Attack Ads Can Work - If you let them ----- BODY:
Attack ads, particularly the Liberal Attack ads, have been dominating the news as of late. While the ads are of the worst fear mongering variety, these ads can work, if the attacked is so inclined. Take as a given, that these ads help shore up the Liberal base and serve to move the NDP vote to the Liberals in an anybody but the Tories way. However, the ads real value will come from the swing vote, those who have no real loyalty but whose normal inclination is to vote Liberal, but of late their inclination has shifted to the Tories. These ads will work if the Tories respond. For those who watched the debates, the Prime Minister took run after personal run at the Tory Leader, and Mr. Harper, to his credit did not respond in kind. By not responding and instead focusing on Tory positions, the attack is diffused, the attack loses its legs and the attacker appears negative.

Contrast this with the Tory attack ads. These ads focus on what has been a constant barrage of bad news for the Liberals. The press are all over the PM over the issues that have been portrayed in the advertisements. These ads reinforce the perception or the reality of Liberal corruption and sense of entitlement which the voters already hold. The PM is being forced by the press to respond to the matters that the advertisements cover. As such, the PM is indirectly responding to the advertisements. This gives the advertisements a sense of truth. Thus, the negative campaign ad can work.
-------- AUTHOR: Little Tobacco DATE: 1/11/2006 09:29:00 AM TITLE: Tory Majority? Not Likely ----- BODY:
The debates are over and the campaign begins. The Liberals are playing the tried and tested fear-card, however, it does not seem to have the requisite legs. The press, though, are helping out the Liberals with the headlines screaming for a Tory Majority. At this point, not only could the media be accused of dreaming in technicolour, they could be accused of being outright misleading. No one following polls can read them to predict a majority.

The 40% number means a great deal more to the Liberals than to the Tories. The Tories are statistically tied with the Liberals in Quebec, but the Liberals are gong to win a double digit number of seats while the Tories at best could win three, if there is a substantial change in direction in the Pontiac. Just as likely as winning three is the possibility of a shut-out for the Tories in Quebec.

Speaking of shut-outs, Toronto is pretty well closed off to the Tories. That is 40 seats out the window. A breakthrough for the Tories would be to win a handful in the area. Likewise Ottawa.

A complete collapse of Liberal support to the Tories outside of Quebec is the necessity for a Tory majority and it simply does not appear to be in the cards.

The raw totals do not matter. The Tories are at 60% in Alberta, but they can only gain two seats. What counts is where the support lies, and the media know this. Barring a complete liberal disaster....actually, even in the face of a complete Liberal disaster....... the prospects for a Tory majority is nil.

The media, sick of the vilification of Harper, have found the new means of fear mongering in this election.
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